{"id":4830,"date":"2018-08-20T12:58:17","date_gmt":"2018-08-20T11:58:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/qpol.qub.ac.uk\/?p=4830"},"modified":"2018-08-20T12:58:17","modified_gmt":"2018-08-20T11:58:17","slug":"brexit-a-meaningful-vote","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/brexit-a-meaningful-vote\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit &#8211; a meaningful vote?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A decision has to be made. &nbsp;OK, how?&nbsp; Well, (give or take a few resignations), Theresa May\u2019s cabinet has agreed the Chequers deal, and she now tries to persuade the 27 members of the EU to accept it.&nbsp; Then parliament must decide.&nbsp; And\/or will there be a second referendum?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the former, will the whip be used?&nbsp; Will yet again the sick be stretchered in, because majority decisions can sometimes be won or lost by just one vote?<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>&nbsp; Or will the people have the final say?&nbsp; Either way, how best can the vote be \u2018meaningful\u2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It could be a two-option question, like \u201cChequers, yes or no?\u201d &nbsp;After all, David Cameron went to Europe, fixed up something, asked the Brexit question, and (52% of) the people said \u2018no\u2019; now that May has fixed up something else, then, if politics were logical, she could ask the above Chequers question.&nbsp; But that could produce another \u2018no\u2019, and the process could drag on for years, <em>ad nauseam<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So maybe the question should not be an \u201c<strong><em>A<\/em><\/strong>, yes-or-no?\u201d query, but of the \u201c<strong><em>A<\/em><\/strong> or <strong><em>B<\/em><\/strong>?\u201d variety: \u201cChequers or \u2018remain\u2019?\u201d&nbsp; But doubtless the Brexiteers would complain!&nbsp; Likewise, if it were, \u201cChequers or the WTO?\u201d the \u2018remainers\u2019 would object!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hence, to be fair and full of meaning, the vote must be multi-optional!&nbsp; So what will the options be? &nbsp;In 1992, when New Zealand debated their electoral system, an independent commission produced a list of five options: one \u2018thumb\u2019, the then status quo of first-past-the-post, and four \u2018fingers\u2019, different electoral systems, some preferential, some proportional, etc..&nbsp; In the first-round five-option referendum, more voted for a finger than for the thumb; and in the second-round majority vote, the most popular finger versus the thumb, New Zealand chose the German system, half FPTP and half PR-list.&nbsp; All very fair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another good referendum was in Guam in 1982.&nbsp; They discussed the constitution, produced a list of six options\u2026 and added a seventh, blank, so that anyone(s) else could concoct a different proposal, so to (campaign and) vote for that.<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, back to Europe. &nbsp;The government could task an independent commission to draw up a short list of, say, four to six options.&nbsp; Quickly.&nbsp; Then hold a Modified Borda Count (MBC)<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a> referendum. &nbsp;The mathematics of the count would encourage the voters to state their compromise option(s); and incentivise the protagonists to campaign for the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> and 3<sup>rd<\/sup> preferences of their erstwhile (majoritarian) opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thus the debates would be more nuanced, the campaigning more civilised, and the outcome a more accurate assessment of the will of the people: if not their consensus, then at least what the UK so desperately needs: their best possible compromise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Some of the world\u2019s crazy instances, in which decisions have been made \u2018this\u2019 way and not \u2018that\u2019 because one individual was bribed, threatened or seduced, are here:&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.deborda.org\/won-by-one\/\">http:\/\/www.deborda.org\/won-by-one\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Multi-option referendums are discussed in <em>Defining Democracy<\/em>, Springer, 2012.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; The mbc, invented by Jean-Charles de Borda in, was quickly corrupted into a bc.&nbsp; In a bc of<em> n<\/em>-options, the voter may cast <em>m <\/em>preferences, where <em>n <\/em><em>\u2265 m \u2265 1<\/em>; points are awarded to (1<sup>st<\/sup>, 2<sup>nd<\/sup> \u2026 last) preferences cast according to the rule (<em>n, n-1 \u2026 1<\/em>) or (<em>n-1, n-2 \u2026 0<\/em>).&nbsp; In an mbc, in contrast, the rule is (<em>m, m-1 \u2026 1<\/em>).&nbsp; The mbc, therefore, can cater with partial ballots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/quinnanya\/17147713246\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>featured image<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;in this article is used under a&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.0\/\"><em>Creative Commons licence<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In light of the debate calling for a referendum on the Brexit deal, Peter Emerson from the de Borda Institute looks at some examples of referendums from across the world that were based around multi-option voting. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2535,"featured_media":614,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[41],"tags":[42,101],"class_list":["post-4830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","tag-brexit","tag-referendum"],"mb":[],"acf":{"authors":{"simple_value_formatted":"","value_formatted":null,"value":null,"field":{"ID":9774,"key":"field_66d0cbf58f930","label":"Authors","name":"authors","aria-label":"","prefix":"acf","type":"relationship","value":null,"menu_order":1,"instructions":"","required":0,"id":"","class":"","conditional_logic":0,"parent":9772,"wrapper":{"width":"","class":"","id":""},"post_type":["authors"],"post_status":["publish"],"taxonomy":"","filters":["search"],"return_format":"id","min":0,"max":10,"allow_in_bindings":0,"elements":["featured_image"],"bidirectional":0,"bidirectional_target":[],"_name":"authors","_valid":1}},"description":{"simple_value_formatted":"","value_formatted":"","value":"","field":{"ID":9776,"key":"field_66d2183027749","label":"Description","name":"description","aria-label":"","prefix":"acf","type":"wysiwyg","value":null,"menu_order":3,"instructions":"","required":0,"id":"","class":"","conditional_logic":0,"parent":9772,"wrapper":{"width":"","class":"","id":""},"default_value":"","allow_in_bindings":0,"tabs":"all","toolbar":"basic","media_upload":0,"delay":1,"_name":"description","_valid":1}}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/76\/2015\/07\/referenda-scaled-1.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"mfb_rest_fields":["title","jetpack_featured_media_url","jetpack_sharing_enabled","amp_enabled"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2535"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4830"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4830\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/614"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.qub.ac.uk\/qpol\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}