The rise of UKIP and its impact on UK politics

The growth of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) throughout the 2010’s signified that a new era of British politics was underway. Despite only ever winning one Westminster seat, Brexit is largely attributed to the party and their unprecedented success.

This has led many to wonder; how did UKIP go from experiencing minimal success in the 1990’s and 2000’s, to becoming arguably the most influential party in British politics in the 2010’s?

The Beginning

UKIP was founded in 1993 as a result of opposition to the Maastricht Treaty. The party experienced their first breakthrough at the 1999 election to the European Parliament, securing three seats- including a victory for Nigel Farage.

This success was heightened in 2004 when UKIP candidates won 12 seats in the European Parliament and displayed a respectable showing in local elections that year (Ray,2024). The party was still unable to win a seat in Westminster during this time, however, thwarted by the ‘first-past-the-post’ system, rather than the proportional representation in European Parliament elections.

Growth under Farage’s Leadership

Initially, UKIP was founded as a single-issue, Eurosceptic party. However, following the election of Farage as party leader in 2006, the party utilised growing anti-immigration sentiment in the UK and successfully fused its core policy on Europe and the more salient issue of immigration (Tournier-Sol,2021).

Additionally, the Conservative Party’s move towards more centrist policies under David Cameron left much of the working-class electorate feeling marginalized and alienated. This public dissatisfaction was amplified with the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government between 2010-2015 (McManus,2021). Therefore, UKIP was able to successfully adopt a right-wing populist narrative, portraying themselves as a ‘“common sense” party that champions the interests of ordinary people” (Clarke et al,2016), in order to attract voters who were disillusioned with the ‘big three’ and did not align with the emerging centrist consensus.

This strategy helped the party see growing support in local elections in the early 2010’s and this success culminated in the 2014 European Parliament Election where UKIP won the election with 24 seats and a 27% vote share. This result was a watershed moment in British politics as it was first time in modern history that neither Labour nor Conservatives had won a British national election.

Interestingly, despite UKIP’s historic success in the 2014 European Parliament election, the party continually failed at making significant gains in Westminster. This may have limited UKIP’s ability to directly influence the legislative agenda, but by embracing extreme positions on key issues, UKIP were able to distinguish themselves from centrist parties and influence legislative outcomes in a manner that far exceeded its representation in Parliament (McManus,2021).

UKIP and Brexit

UKIP continued to capitalise on the Eurozone and migrant crises to pressurise the Government into holding a public vote on EU membership.  The risk of voter defection to UKIP was much higher for the Conservative Party than any other, and the Conservatives feared that the increasing support for UKIP could cost them an overall majority at the 2015 General election.

The Conservatives were desperate to curb the growing electoral threat from UKIP, and as a result, Cameron pledged to hold a referendum on EU membership if the Conservatives won the 2015 General Election. This pledge was an obvious attempt to “shoot the UKIP fox”, especially given that Cameron himself was opposed to Brexit and campaigned for the UK to remain in the EU (McManus,2021).

When the UK voted to leave the EU on 23rd June 2016, this was the ultimate win for the party, with Farage describing the event as Britain’s ‘independence day’.

The Aftermath

Following the historic Brexit vote, and the resignation of Farage as leader, UKIP have struggled to find their feet and, after the 2023 local elections, they do not have any representatives at any level.

Nonetheless, despite UKIP’s dwindling relevance, their ideas and policies continued to influence British politics. The Conservative Party adopted right-wing populist rhetoric post-referendum to recuperate the dissatisfied voters they had lost to UKIP, becoming increasingly anti-immigration, Eurosceptic, and electing Boris Johnson as party leader, who was notoriously supportive of a hard Brexit.

Arguably, the influence and impact of UKIP is still alive in the present day as this right-wing radicalisation of the Conservative Party is still in force, with current leader Rishi Sunak taking a hard-line stance on immigration and transgender rights.

Therefore, love them or hate them, the impact of UKIP cannot be understated. Although the UK was initially perceived as an exemption to the right-wing populism emerging across Europe, the unprecedented success of UKIP from 2010 to 2016 exemplifies that right-wing populism has materialised in the UK (Tournier-Sol,2021).

Not only were they a large reason for Brexit, but the Conservative Party’s co-opting of UKIP’s ideas and their move towards the right following Cameron’s more centrist government, further emphasises UKIP’s influence, and demonstrates that they have played a pivotal role in British politics and policies over the last 15 years.

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